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002777.SZ$14.24+2.54%
Fair $14.24+0.0%

002777.SZ

Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.,Ltd

Technology / Software - ApplicationShenzhen

$14.24

+0.36 (+2.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.24Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $175.9M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002777.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.8B

P/E

79.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

32.6x

↑

ROE

4.6%

↓

Gross Margin

47.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$14
$14$24

TradingView lightweight chart

002777.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.52Periodo +316.4%
Fair value: $14.24

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

15.7%

FCF / Net income

2.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.23B · net income $76.9M · FCF $193.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

47.8%-7.5% pts

Operating margin

12.7%-6.6% pts

Net margin

6.2%-8.1% pts

FCF margin

15.7%+20.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.23B$1.23B$1.34B$1.35B$1.28B
Net Income$76.9M$76.9M$73.3M$166.4M$184.2M
EBITDA$151.2M$151.2M$150.3M$245.6M$257.8M
EPS0.190.190.180.410.45
Gross Margin47.8%47.8%41.4%45.7%55.2%
Operating Margin12.7%12.7%10.8%16.8%19.3%
Net Margin6.2%6.2%5.5%12.4%14.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.02
Current Ratio2.722.72———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$193.5M$193.5M$175.9M$33.9M$-58.2M
Returns
ROE4.6%4.6%4.4%10.1%11.9%
Valuation
P/E79.1179.1187.1157.4135.47
EV/EBITDA32.6332.6338.0636.1822.85
P/B3.413.413.825.804.23
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.0%-8.0%-0.5%5.0%—
EPS Growth5.6%5.6%-56.1%-8.9%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

88.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.26

Spread vs growth

-82.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

51.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.53

Spread vs growth

-46.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

29.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.46

Spread vs growth

-23.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.0%

Total return

-16.0%

Start / end P/E

97.3x → 76.4x

EPS bridge

0.18 → 0.19

Residual

-1.2%

EPS growth+5.6%
Multiple rerating-21.4%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.