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002799.SZ$7.43-4.13%
Fair $7.43+0.0%

002799.SZ

Xi'an Global Printing Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersShenzhen

$7.43

-0.32 (-4.13%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.43Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-22.8M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002799.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Xi'an Global Printing Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

53.3x

↑

ROE

-1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

17.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$7
$7$11

TradingView lightweight chart

002799.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.430Periodo +63.0%
Fair value: $7.430

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-25.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.6%

FCF / Net income

-5.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $807.8M · net income $-22.0M · FCF $118.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.3%+2.8% pts

Operating margin

0.4%-7.1% pts

Net margin

-2.7%-7.2% pts

FCF margin

14.6%+20.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$807.8M$807.8M$1.40B$1.60B$1.93B
Net Income$-22.0M$-22.0M$-52.4M$-221.9M$86.6M
EBITDA$37.5M$37.5M$61.0M$-230.3M$160.1M
EPS-0.07-0.07-0.16-0.690.34
Gross Margin17.3%17.3%13.7%15.3%14.5%
Operating Margin0.4%0.4%4.0%6.9%7.5%
Net Margin-2.7%-2.7%-3.8%-13.9%4.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.290.290.28
Current Ratio1.721.72———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$118.0M$118.0M$-22.8M$-167.4M$-115.0M
Returns
ROE-1.7%-1.7%-4.1%-16.4%5.5%
Valuation
P/E————40.12
EV/EBITDA53.3353.3335.93—18.83
P/B1.841.841.812.682.20
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-42.2%-42.2%-12.8%-17.1%—
EPS Growth56.3%56.3%76.8%-302.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.9%

Total return

-6.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.16 → -0.07

Residual

-6.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.