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002811.SZ$11.76-2.57%
Fair $11.76+0.0%

002811.SZ

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShenzhen

$11.76

-0.31 (-2.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.76Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $234.4M · quality 71.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 71/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002811.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.6B

P/E

20.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.3x

↑

ROE

10.8%

↑

Gross Margin

33.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$12
$10$18

TradingView lightweight chart

002811.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.76Periodo -12.5%
Fair value: $11.76

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.0%

FCF CAGR

+0.2%

FCF margin

17.0%

FCF / Net income

1.52x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.38B · net income $153.9M · FCF $234.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.4%+11.1% pts

Operating margin

11.1%+7.7% pts

Net margin

11.2%+27.1% pts

FCF margin

17.0%-4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.38B$1.38B$1.19B$1.09B$1.10B
Net Income$153.9M$153.9M$95.4M$-48.5M$-174.9M
EBITDA$255.7M$255.7M$198.5M$24.7M$-124.5M
EPS0.530.530.36-0.18-0.65
Gross Margin33.4%33.4%29.4%21.3%22.4%
Operating Margin11.1%11.1%8.6%2.0%3.4%
Net Margin11.2%11.2%8.0%-4.4%-16.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.150.490.450.41
Current Ratio1.751.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$234.4M$234.4M$232.5M$364.5M$232.9M
Returns
ROE10.8%10.8%8.5%-4.2%-14.5%
Valuation
P/E20.6320.6323.00——
EV/EBITDA12.3412.3411.02104.06—
P/B2.402.401.962.261.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.2%16.2%8.5%-0.2%—
EPS Growth47.2%47.2%300.0%72.3%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

25.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.04

Spread vs growth

21.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

19.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.26

Spread vs growth

28.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.03

Spread vs growth

32.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.6%

Total return

-10.6%

Start / end P/E

37.8x → 22.2x

EPS bridge

0.36 → 0.53

Residual

-19.5%

EPS growth+47.2%
Multiple rerating-41.3%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.