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002858.SZ$13.03-3.84%
Fair $13.03+0.0%

002858.SZ

Lisheng Sports (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd

Communication Services / EntertainmentShenzhen

$13.03

-0.52 (-3.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $13.03Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $62.4M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002858.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Lisheng Sports (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

39.5x

↑

ROE

-1.3%

↓

Gross Margin

18.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.36

↑
52-Week Range$13
$12$18

TradingView lightweight chart

002858.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.03Periodo +54.2%
Fair value: $13.03

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+24.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

13.0%

FCF / Net income

-9.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $497.2M · net income $-6.6M · FCF $64.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.7%+0.6% pts

Operating margin

6.6%+24.8% pts

Net margin

-1.3%+28.6% pts

FCF margin

13.0%+15.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$497.2M$497.2M$440.7M$405.2M$258.3M
Net Income$-6.6M$-6.6M$-38.9M$-192.9M$-77.5M
EBITDA$52.7M$52.7M$35.0M$-122.0M$-24.9M
EPS-0.04-0.04-0.24-1.20-0.50
Gross Margin18.7%18.7%23.1%21.9%18.1%
Operating Margin6.6%6.6%3.4%1.5%-18.2%
Net Margin-1.3%-1.3%-8.8%-47.6%-30.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.360.360.350.300.19
Current Ratio2.052.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$64.9M$64.9M$62.4M$-163.0M$-7.2M
Returns
ROE-1.3%-1.3%-7.4%-32.9%-11.5%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA39.4739.4747.57——
P/B4.084.083.314.763.16
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.8%12.8%8.8%56.9%—
EPS Growth82.9%82.9%80.0%-140.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.2%

Total return

+0.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.24 → -0.04

Residual

+0.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.