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002861.SZ$18.25+2.82%
Fair $18.25+0.0%

002861.SZ

YingTong Telecommunication Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Communication EquipmentShenzhen

$18.25

+0.50 (+2.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.25Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-96.1M · quality 75.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 44/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -6.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002861.SZLocal privado en este navegador · YingTong Telecommunication Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

312.9x

↑

ROE

-6.6%

↓

Gross Margin

18.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.18

↓
52-Week Range$18
$14$22

TradingView lightweight chart

002861.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.25Periodo -4.5%
Fair value: $18.25

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.4%

FCF / Net income

1.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $842.9M · net income $-70.3M · FCF $-96.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.6%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

-4.1%+1.7% pts

Net margin

-8.3%+7.9% pts

FCF margin

-11.4%-2.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$842.9M$842.9M$815.2M$754.2M$724.9M
Net Income$-70.3M$-70.3M$11.0M$-77.3M$-117.6M
EBITDA$10.8M$10.8M$87.6M$2.5M$-38.9M
EPS-0.38-0.380.07-0.50-0.76
Gross Margin18.6%18.6%19.2%18.1%17.6%
Operating Margin-4.1%-4.1%-2.7%-2.7%-5.8%
Net Margin-8.3%-8.3%1.3%-10.3%-16.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.180.180.150.610.49
Current Ratio1.471.47———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-96.1M$-96.1M$-147.2M$-72.7M$-65.4M
Returns
ROE-6.6%-6.6%0.9%-9.2%-12.8%
Valuation
P/E——177.57——
EV/EBITDA312.92312.9223.271021.77—
P/B3.173.171.682.561.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%8.1%4.0%—
EPS Growth-642.9%-642.9%114.0%34.2%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.4%

Total return

+29.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.07 → -0.38

Residual

+28.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+28.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.