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002863.SZ$5.07-1.93%
Fair $5.07+0.0%

002863.SZ

Zhejiang Jinfei Kaida Wheel Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$5.07

-0.10 (-1.93%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.07Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-564.7M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002863.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Jinfei Kaida Wheel Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

46.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.3x

↑

ROE

2.1%

↓

Gross Margin

12.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.61

↑
52-Week Range$5
$5$7

TradingView lightweight chart

002863.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.070Periodo -0.7%
Fair value: $5.070

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.5%

FCF / Net income

-9.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.39B · net income $59.9M · FCF $-564.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.6%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

5.3%-0.0% pts

Net margin

1.1%-1.6% pts

FCF margin

-10.5%-5.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.39B$5.39B$4.90B$4.41B$4.22B
Net Income$59.9M$59.9M$67.0M$73.8M$112.9M
EBITDA$572.6M$572.6M$508.7M$468.9M$451.3M
EPS0.100.100.110.150.23
Gross Margin12.6%12.6%13.8%12.3%12.2%
Operating Margin5.3%5.3%5.5%5.3%5.3%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%1.4%1.7%2.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.611.611.471.391.40
Current Ratio0.780.78———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-564.7M$-564.7M$-634.9M$-382.9M$-208.5M
Returns
ROE2.1%2.1%2.4%2.8%5.4%
Valuation
P/E46.0946.0938.9140.6026.70
EV/EBITDA12.2612.2611.8812.2211.48
P/B1.071.070.951.121.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.1%10.1%11.1%4.5%—
EPS Growth-9.1%-9.1%-26.7%-34.8%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

65.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.45

Spread vs growth

-74.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

40.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

-49.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.88

Spread vs growth

-33.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.5%

Total return

-0.5%

Start / end P/E

46.6x → 50.7x

EPS bridge

0.11 → 0.10

Residual

-0.8%

EPS growth-9.1%
Multiple rerating+8.7%
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.