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002877.SZ$8.06-2.30%
Fair $8.06+0.0%

002877.SZ

Wuxi Smart Auto-Control Engineering Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$8.06

-0.19 (-2.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.06Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-45.8M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002877.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Wuxi Smart Auto-Control Engineering Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.9B

P/E

115.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

25.8x

↑

ROE

1.9%

↓

Gross Margin

28.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.62

↑
52-Week Range$8
$8$12

TradingView lightweight chart

002877.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.060Periodo +81.2%
Fair value: $8.060

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

1.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.04B · net income $23.2M · FCF $28.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.4%-7.0% pts

Operating margin

7.7%-7.2% pts

Net margin

2.2%-7.5% pts

FCF margin

2.7%+32.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.04B$1.04B$1.09B$1.02B$862.5M
Net Income$23.2M$23.2M$22.7M$105.0M$83.6M
EBITDA$135.4M$135.4M$102.0M$192.0M$168.6M
EPS0.070.070.060.310.25
Gross Margin28.4%28.4%25.9%35.0%35.4%
Operating Margin7.7%7.7%7.5%14.9%15.0%
Net Margin2.2%2.2%2.1%10.2%9.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.620.620.650.590.80
Current Ratio1.401.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$28.1M$28.1M$-71.8M$-45.8M$-255.9M
Returns
ROE1.9%1.9%1.9%8.9%9.3%
Valuation
P/E115.14115.14120.4733.2328.24
EV/EBITDA25.8525.8532.9921.5217.87
P/B2.352.352.312.972.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.6%-4.6%6.7%18.8%—
EPS Growth3.1%3.1%-79.4%24.0%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

121.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.72

Spread vs growth

-118.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

67.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.87

Spread vs growth

-64.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

35.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.39

Spread vs growth

-32.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.5%

Total return

-6.5%

Start / end P/E

135.0x → 122.1x

EPS bridge

0.06 → 0.07

Residual

-0.3%

EPS growth+3.1%
Multiple rerating-9.5%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.