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002878.SZ$14.93-10.01%
Fair $14.93+0.0%

002878.SZ

Beijing Yuanlong Yato Culture Dissemination Co.,Ltd.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesShenzhen

$14.93

-1.66 (-10.01%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.93Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $211.8M · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002878.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Beijing Yuanlong Yato Culture Dissemination Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

402.8x

↑

ROE

-2.4%

↓

Gross Margin

12.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.44

↑
52-Week Range$15
$14$27

TradingView lightweight chart

002878.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.93Periodo +106.9%
Fair value: $14.93

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.9%

FCF CAGR

+24.3%

FCF margin

7.0%

FCF / Net income

-7.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.01B · net income $-29.5M · FCF $211.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.4%-7.5% pts

Operating margin

1.4%-5.0% pts

Net margin

-1.0%-6.1% pts

FCF margin

7.0%+3.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.01B$3.01B$2.71B$2.67B$3.29B
Net Income$-29.5M$-29.5M$-244.6M$8.4M$167.3M
EBITDA$10.2M$10.2M$-202.6M$47.7M$222.6M
EPS-0.11-0.11-0.940.040.75
Gross Margin12.4%12.4%12.2%15.1%20.0%
Operating Margin1.4%1.4%-1.5%1.4%6.4%
Net Margin-1.0%-1.0%-9.0%0.3%5.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.440.440.390.360.32
Current Ratio2.092.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$211.8M$211.8M$217.2M$-51.5M$110.4M
Returns
ROE-2.4%-2.4%-19.4%0.5%16.5%
Valuation
P/E———437.2521.27
EV/EBITDA402.76402.76—66.7715.38
P/B3.203.203.112.383.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.0%11.0%1.4%-18.7%—
EPS Growth88.3%88.3%-2450.0%-94.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.7%

Total return

-3.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.94 → -0.11

Residual

-3.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.