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002891.SZ$30.10-2.87%
Fair $30.10+0.0%

002891.SZ

Yantai China Pet Foods Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsShenzhen

$30.10

-0.89 (-2.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $30.10Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $115.8M · quality 43.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002891.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Yantai China Pet Foods Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.7B

P/E

25.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.1x

↑

ROE

12.4%

↑

Gross Margin

29.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$30
$29$74

TradingView lightweight chart

002891.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $30.10Periodo +244.8%
Fair value: $30.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.2%

FCF / Net income

0.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.22B · net income $365.1M · FCF $115.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.5%+9.7% pts

Operating margin

8.5%+3.1% pts

Net margin

7.0%+3.7% pts

FCF margin

2.2%+9.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.22B$5.22B$4.46B$3.75B$3.25B
Net Income$365.1M$365.1M$393.8M$233.2M$105.9M
EBITDA$654.7M$654.7M$674.7M$528.7M$283.8M
EPS1.221.221.300.800.36
Gross Margin29.5%29.5%28.2%26.3%19.8%
Operating Margin8.5%8.5%10.7%10.6%5.3%
Net Margin7.0%7.0%8.8%6.2%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.480.640.53
Current Ratio1.411.41———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$115.8M$115.8M$254.6M$40.2M$-229.2M
Returns
ROE12.4%12.4%16.2%10.4%5.1%
Valuation
P/E25.9525.9527.3032.3561.35
EV/EBITDA14.1214.1216.9015.9824.70
P/B3.073.074.433.383.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.9%16.9%19.1%15.4%—
EPS Growth-6.1%-6.1%63.0%121.5%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

29.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.67

Spread vs growth

-35.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

21.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.23

Spread vs growth

-27.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.20

Spread vs growth

-21.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -55.4%

Total return

-55.4%

Start / end P/E

53.2x → 24.6x

EPS bridge

1.30 → 1.22

Residual

+3.3%

EPS growth-6.1%
Multiple rerating-53.7%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.