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002905.SZ$8.11+3.75%
Fair $8.11+0.0%

002905.SZ

Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation

Communication Services / EntertainmentShenzhen

$8.11

+0.31 (+3.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.11Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 8/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $297.3M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 20.88, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002905.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.1B

P/E

101.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.7x

↑

ROE

34.8%

↑

Gross Margin

23.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

20.88

↑
52-Week Range$8
$8$15

TradingView lightweight chart

002905.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.570Periodo -36.5%
Fair value: $8.110

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.3%

FCF CAGR

+18.6%

FCF margin

25.9%

FCF / Net income

10.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.15B · net income $29.5M · FCF $297.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.6%+32.2% pts

Operating margin

3.9%+34.0% pts

Net margin

2.6%+47.1% pts

FCF margin

25.9%+5.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.15B$1.15B$1.01B$1.37B$856.0M
Net Income$29.5M$29.5M$-90.4M$13.3M$-381.3M
EBITDA$322.3M$322.3M$290.6M$432.2M$198.9M
EPS0.080.08-0.240.04-1.01
Gross Margin23.6%23.6%14.2%24.2%-8.6%
Operating Margin3.9%3.9%-9.2%10.2%-30.0%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%-8.9%1.0%-44.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity20.8820.8830.9220.8125.37
Current Ratio0.800.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$297.3M$297.3M$104.9M$359.8M$178.2M
Returns
ROE34.8%34.8%-119.7%8.6%-267.3%
Valuation
P/E101.37101.37—280.25—
EV/EBITDA13.7113.7116.7214.6834.29
P/B35.3135.3139.5024.0125.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.6%13.6%-25.9%59.6%—
EPS Growth133.3%133.3%-700.0%104.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

108.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.72

Spread vs growth

25.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

61.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.87

Spread vs growth

72.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

33.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.40

Spread vs growth

100.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.0%

Total return

+2.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.24 → 0.08

Residual

+2.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.