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002910.SZ$9.80+3.73%
Fair $9.80+0.0%

002910.SZ

Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsShenzhen

$9.80

+0.37 (+3.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.80Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 12/F
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $24.9M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

12/100

F

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -7.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002910.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

55.8x

↑

ROE

-7.3%

↓

Gross Margin

24.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.01

↑
52-Week Range$10
$9$16

TradingView lightweight chart

002910.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.30Periodo -4.1%
Fair value: $9.800

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $920.6M · net income $-74.4M · FCF $24.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.0%+5.0% pts

Operating margin

1.8%-4.0% pts

Net margin

-8.1%-13.9% pts

FCF margin

2.7%+5.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$920.6M$920.6M$890.0M$955.7M$1.05B
Net Income$-74.4M$-74.4M$-166.2M$-81.5M$60.9M
EBITDA$49.1M$49.1M$-52.0M$38.3M$210.4M
EPS-0.38-0.38-0.86-0.420.28
Gross Margin24.0%24.0%15.8%18.9%19.0%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%-9.9%0.9%5.9%
Net Margin-8.1%-8.1%-18.7%-8.5%5.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.011.010.990.790.74
Current Ratio0.630.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$24.9M$24.9M$-47.9M$29.4M$-25.3M
Returns
ROE-7.3%-7.3%-15.2%-6.4%4.5%
Valuation
P/E————47.07
EV/EBITDA55.8055.80—75.7817.23
P/B1.891.891.211.692.11
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%-6.9%-9.0%—
EPS Growth55.8%55.8%-104.8%-250.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.9%

Total return

+10.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.86 → -0.38

Residual

+10.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+10.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.