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002952.SZ$25.78-4.77%
Fair $25.78+0.0%

002952.SZ

Yes Optoelectronics (Group) Co., Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$25.78

-1.29 (-4.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $25.78Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $58.9M · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002952.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Yes Optoelectronics (Group) Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.2B

P/E

257.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

107.2x

↑

ROE

1.2%

↓

Gross Margin

10.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$26
$18$34

TradingView lightweight chart

002952.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $25.78Periodo +6.9%
Fair value: $25.78

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.2%

FCF / Net income

-2.75x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $925.3M · net income $10.7M · FCF $-29.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.7%-9.8% pts

Operating margin

2.6%-10.7% pts

Net margin

1.2%-12.6% pts

FCF margin

-3.2%+5.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$925.3M$925.3M$724.0M$664.1M$884.7M
Net Income$10.7M$10.7M$16.8M$23.3M$121.3M
EBITDA$35.1M$35.1M$39.2M$42.7M$151.5M
EPS0.070.070.100.140.74
Gross Margin10.7%10.7%11.2%17.7%20.5%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%1.0%6.5%13.3%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%2.3%3.5%13.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.000.010.00
Current Ratio3.693.69———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-29.4M$-29.4M$78.2M$58.9M$-72.8M
Returns
ROE1.2%1.2%1.9%2.7%13.4%
Valuation
P/E257.80257.80281.60289.9322.22
EV/EBITDA107.23107.23115.89156.0316.97
P/B4.524.525.467.832.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth27.8%27.8%9.0%-24.9%—
EPS Growth-30.0%-30.0%-28.6%-81.1%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

219.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.29

Spread vs growth

-249.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

108.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.77

Spread vs growth

-138.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

51.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.46

Spread vs growth

-81.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.7%

Total return

+34.7%

Start / end P/E

191.7x → 368.3x

EPS bridge

0.10 → 0.07

Residual

-27.6%

EPS growth-30.0%
Multiple rerating+92.1%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-27.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.