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002962.SZ$20.90+10.00%
Fair $20.90+0.0%

002962.SZ

Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology Co., Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$20.90

+1.90 (+10.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.90Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.8M · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002962.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.1B

P/E

209.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

44.2x

↑

ROE

2.1%

↓

Gross Margin

11.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$21
$13$21

TradingView lightweight chart

002962.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $20.90Periodo +45.3%
Fair value: $20.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.36x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.18B · net income $37.1M · FCF $-13.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.4%-4.3% pts

Operating margin

1.7%-4.3% pts

Net margin

3.2%-5.5% pts

FCF margin

-1.1%-19.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.18B$1.18B$1.08B$841.1M$1.03B
Net Income$37.1M$37.1M$65.1M$67.8M$88.9M
EBITDA$114.6M$114.6M$135.5M$136.5M$166.2M
EPS0.130.130.220.230.30
Gross Margin11.4%11.4%15.5%14.4%15.7%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%3.4%4.7%6.0%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%6.0%8.1%8.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.050.030.01
Current Ratio6.616.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.4M$-13.4M$2.8M$65.4M$188.2M
Returns
ROE2.1%2.1%3.6%3.7%4.9%
Valuation
P/E209.00209.0081.5083.5235.53
EV/EBITDA44.2144.2131.5333.4312.33
P/B3.373.372.903.101.74
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.7%8.7%28.9%-18.3%—
EPS Growth-40.9%-40.9%-4.3%-23.3%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

142.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.85

Spread vs growth

-183.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

76.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.24

Spread vs growth

-117.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

39.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.61

Spread vs growth

-80.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +44.8%

Total return

+44.8%

Start / end P/E

65.9x → 160.8x

EPS bridge

0.22 → 0.13

Residual

-58.9%

EPS growth-40.9%
Multiple rerating+144.1%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-58.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.