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002977.SZ$27.64-0.86%
Fair $27.64+0.0%

002977.SZ

Chengdu Tianjian Technology Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Aerospace & DefenseShenzhen

$27.64

-0.24 (-0.86%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $27.64Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $46.8M · quality 39.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -26.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002977.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Chengdu Tianjian Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-26.7%

↓

Gross Margin

132.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$28
$25$46

TradingView lightweight chart

002977.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $27.64Periodo +7.6%
Fair value: $27.64

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-25.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $-171.4M · net income $-225.7M · FCF $42.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

132.3%+89.4% pts

Operating margin

148.4%+114.1% pts

Net margin

131.7%+110.5% pts

FCF margin

-25.0%-5.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$-171.4M$-171.4M$136.5M$167.2M$342.8M
Net Income$-225.7M$-225.7M$16.0M$50.0M$72.7M
EBITDA$-247.1M$-247.1M$48.7M$52.4M$120.7M
EPS-1.88-1.880.130.420.73
Gross Margin132.3%132.3%51.3%44.9%43.0%
Operating Margin148.4%148.4%29.9%26.8%34.3%
Net Margin131.7%131.7%11.7%29.9%21.2%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio10.0410.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$42.8M$42.8M$46.8M$218.2M$-67.8M
Returns
ROE-26.7%-26.7%1.5%4.6%6.8%
Valuation
P/E——195.3879.4841.89
EV/EBITDA——53.6966.4922.80
P/B3.923.922.863.622.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-225.5%-225.5%-18.3%-51.2%—
EPS Growth-1546.2%-1546.2%-69.0%-42.5%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -32.1%

Total return

-32.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.13 → -1.88

Residual

-32.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.