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002997.SZ$31.18+0.45%
Fair $31.18+0.0%

002997.SZ

Rayhoo Motor Dies Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$31.18

+0.14 (+0.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $31.18Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-58.4M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002997.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Rayhoo Motor Dies Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.5B

P/E

16.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.3x

↑

ROE

15.9%

↑

Gross Margin

24.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$31
$29$44

TradingView lightweight chart

002997.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $31.18Periodo +73.5%
Fair value: $31.18

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+41.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.9%

FCF / Net income

0.83x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.29B · net income $391.8M · FCF $324.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.2%+0.7% pts

Operating margin

14.9%+4.4% pts

Net margin

11.9%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

9.9%+21.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.29B$3.29B$2.42B$1.88B$1.17B
Net Income$391.8M$391.8M$350.3M$202.3M$140.0M
EBITDA$652.5M$652.5M$572.3M$327.0M$213.3M
EPS1.871.871.701.040.75
Gross Margin24.2%24.2%25.0%20.8%23.5%
Operating Margin14.9%14.9%15.0%9.5%10.6%
Net Margin11.9%11.9%14.5%10.8%12.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.130.340.31
Current Ratio1.271.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$324.5M$324.5M$-58.4M$-130.1M$-140.0M
Returns
ROE15.9%15.9%16.2%11.9%10.5%
Valuation
P/E16.3216.3219.3730.1036.53
EV/EBITDA9.299.2911.4417.7923.10
P/B2.652.653.143.583.85
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth35.8%35.8%29.2%60.7%—
EPS Growth10.0%10.0%63.5%38.7%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

13.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.77

Spread vs growth

-3.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.35

Spread vs growth

-2.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$5.39

Spread vs growth

-1.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.7%

Total return

-15.7%

Start / end P/E

22.1x → 16.7x

EPS bridge

1.70 → 1.87

Residual

-2.5%

EPS growth+10.0%
Multiple rerating-24.7%
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.