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003011.SZ$20.91-3.82%
Fair $20.91+0.0%

003011.SZ

Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesShenzhen

$20.91

-0.83 (-3.82%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $20.91Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $170.5M · quality 64.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 53/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 003011.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

24.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.0x

↑

ROE

7.1%

↑

Gross Margin

29.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.34

↓
52-Week Range$21
$16$29

TradingView lightweight chart

003011.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $21.74Periodo -45.3%
Fair value: $20.91

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-14.0%

FCF CAGR

+28.3%

FCF margin

14.1%

FCF / Net income

1.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.21B · net income $99.5M · FCF $170.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.2%+7.2% pts

Operating margin

15.1%+3.4% pts

Net margin

8.2%-3.0% pts

FCF margin

14.1%+9.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.21B$1.21B$1.37B$1.60B$1.89B
Net Income$99.5M$99.5M$50.1M$45.6M$212.2M
EBITDA$216.1M$216.1M$189.2M$165.5M$317.2M
EPS0.980.980.490.452.07
Gross Margin29.2%29.2%31.2%24.4%22.0%
Operating Margin15.1%15.1%16.5%11.8%11.7%
Net Margin8.2%8.2%3.7%2.9%11.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.350.410.47
Current Ratio1.741.74———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$170.5M$170.5M$249.0M$34.4M$80.8M
Returns
ROE7.1%7.1%3.5%3.2%14.5%
Valuation
P/E24.6024.6028.5547.0410.89
EV/EBITDA10.9610.968.7715.098.28
P/B1.511.511.011.511.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.8%-11.8%-14.4%-15.6%—
EPS Growth100.0%100.0%8.9%-78.3%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

23.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.86

Spread vs growth

76.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.25

Spread vs growth

82.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.62

Spread vs growth

86.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.3%

Total return

+17.3%

Start / end P/E

37.3x → 21.3x

EPS bridge

0.49 → 0.98

Residual

-42.7%

EPS growth+100.0%
Multiple rerating-42.7%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-42.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.