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003040.SZ$12.95-2.04%
Fair $12.95+0.0%

003040.SZ

Chutian Dragon Co., Ltd.

Technology / SemiconductorsShenzhen

$12.95

-0.27 (-2.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.95Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $52.2M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 003040.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Chutian Dragon Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.0B

P/E

647.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

80.5x

↑

ROE

0.5%

↓

Gross Margin

25.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$13
$12$30

TradingView lightweight chart

003040.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $13.22Periodo +98.8%
Fair value: $12.95

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.2%

FCF / Net income

7.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $998.2M · net income $7.2M · FCF $52.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.8%-4.1% pts

Operating margin

-1.3%-13.7% pts

Net margin

0.7%-8.9% pts

FCF margin

5.2%+20.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$998.2M$998.2M$1.05B$1.34B$1.72B
Net Income$7.2M$7.2M$21.6M$70.4M$165.9M
EBITDA$50.3M$50.3M$69.1M$123.2M$219.4M
EPS0.020.020.050.150.36
Gross Margin25.8%25.8%30.5%30.2%29.9%
Operating Margin-1.3%-1.3%1.3%7.1%12.4%
Net Margin0.7%0.7%2.1%5.3%9.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.010.010.01
Current Ratio3.193.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$52.2M$52.2M$85.7M$42.0M$-262.6M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%1.5%4.7%10.9%
Valuation
P/E647.50647.50276.40122.4751.67
EV/EBITDA80.5480.5478.0064.7537.03
P/B3.193.194.085.725.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.8%-4.8%-21.5%-22.3%—
EPS Growth-60.0%-60.0%-66.7%-58.3%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

285.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.15

Spread vs growth

-345.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

133.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.39

Spread vs growth

-193.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

60.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.24

Spread vs growth

-120.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.3%

Total return

-0.3%

Start / end P/E

260.0x → 647.5x

EPS bridge

0.05 → 0.02

Residual

-89.4%

EPS growth-60.0%
Multiple rerating+149.0%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-89.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.