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004250.KS$3005.00-3.97%
Fair $3005.00+0.0%

004250.KS

NPC Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersKSE

$3005.00

-125.00 (-3.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3005.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-13.0B · quality 55.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 004250.KSLocal privado en este navegador · NPC Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$114.6B

P/E

8.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.1x

↓

ROE

2.9%

↓

Gross Margin

17.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.26

↓
52-Week Range$3005
$3010$4700

TradingView lightweight chart

004250.KS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,020Periodo +655.0%
Fair value: $3,005

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.8%

FCF / Net income

-3.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $450.32B · net income $12.94B · FCF $-44.26B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.1%+2.5% pts

Operating margin

5.2%+0.9% pts

Net margin

2.9%-2.3% pts

FCF margin

-9.8%-6.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$450.32B$450.32B$458.27B$508.72B$544.58B
Net Income$12.94B$12.94B$75.81B$26.74B$28.12B
EBITDA$65.12B$65.12B$143.40B$74.79B$75.04B
EPS339.00339.001893.00650.00678.00
Gross Margin17.1%17.1%17.3%17.1%14.6%
Operating Margin5.2%5.2%2.3%5.8%4.3%
Net Margin2.9%2.9%16.5%5.3%5.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.260.260.160.250.29
Current Ratio1.001.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-44.26B$-44.26B$-9.79B$-12.99B$-17.02B
Returns
ROE2.9%2.9%17.3%7.3%8.2%
Valuation
P/E8.868.862.298.658.66
EV/EBITDA3.093.091.323.974.15
P/B0.260.260.400.630.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.7%-1.7%-9.9%-6.6%—
EPS Growth-82.1%-82.1%191.2%-4.1%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$266.64

Spread vs growth

-74.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$322.64

Spread vs growth

-81.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$519.61

Spread vs growth

-86.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.5%

Total return

-24.5%

Start / end P/E

2.2x → 8.9x

EPS bridge

1893.00 → 339.00

Residual

-247.9%

EPS growth-82.1%
Multiple rerating+302.0%
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-247.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.