StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
004650.KQ$9210.00-1.71%
Fair $9210.00+0.0%

004650.KQ

Changhae Ethanol Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesKOSDAQ

$9210.00

-160.00 (-1.71%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9210.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $10.4B · quality 68.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 58/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 004650.KQLocal privado en este navegador · Changhae Ethanol Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$69.9B

P/E

5.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

9.3%

↑

Gross Margin

22.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.24

↓
52-Week Range$9210
$9100$13460

TradingView lightweight chart

004650.KQ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9,210Periodo -36.9%
Fair value: $9,210

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.8%

FCF CAGR

+113.8%

FCF margin

11.9%

FCF / Net income

1.10x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $122.34B · net income $13.27B · FCF $14.57B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.3%+5.6% pts

Operating margin

13.0%+4.1% pts

Net margin

10.8%+10.8% pts

FCF margin

11.9%+10.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$122.34B$122.34B$137.45B$116.42B$109.43B
Net Income$13.27B$13.27B$12.52B$-3.84B$77.6M
EBITDA$22.34B$22.34B$22.12B$5.12B$7.98B
EPS1749.001749.001650.00-506.0010.00
Gross Margin22.3%22.3%20.1%20.8%16.7%
Operating Margin13.0%13.0%12.6%12.5%8.9%
Net Margin10.8%10.8%9.1%-3.3%0.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.330.370.35
Current Ratio1.301.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$14.57B$14.57B$10.35B$5.34B$1.49B
Returns
ROE9.3%9.3%9.4%-3.1%0.1%
Valuation
P/E5.275.275.39—1065.00
EV/EBITDA4.354.354.7322.0915.64
P/B0.490.490.510.570.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-11.0%-11.0%18.1%6.4%—
EPS Growth6.0%6.0%426.1%-5160.0%—
Dividend Yield6.5%6.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-22.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$817.23

Spread vs growth

28.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$988.85

Spread vs growth

16.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1592.56

Spread vs growth

6.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.5%

Total return

+4.5%

Start / end P/E

5.7x → 5.3x

EPS bridge

1650.00 → 1749.00

Residual

-0.5%

EPS growth+6.0%
Multiple rerating-7.6%
Dividend+6.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.