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v0.1
0051.HK$4.58+0.44%
Fair $4.58+0.0%

0051.HK

Harbour Centre Development Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentHKSE

$4.58

+0.02 (+0.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.58Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0051.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Harbour Centre Development Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-1.6%

↓

Gross Margin

50.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$5
$4$5

TradingView lightweight chart

0051.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.580Periodo -7.6%
Fair value: $4.580

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

24.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.34B · net income $-234.0M · FCF $326.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

50.0%+7.1% pts

Operating margin

17.5%+14.9% pts

Net margin

-17.4%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

24.2%+37.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.34B$1.34B$1.35B$1.58B$1.14B
Net Income$-234.0M$-234.0M$-70.0M$-107.0M$-197.0M
EBITDA$-17.0M$-17.0M$175.0M$51.0M$49.0M
EPS——-0.10-0.15-0.28
Gross Margin50.0%50.0%58.3%53.6%42.9%
Operating Margin17.5%17.5%29.8%25.8%2.5%
Net Margin-17.4%-17.4%-5.2%-6.8%-17.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.030.040.07
Current Ratio2.022.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$326.0M$326.0M$212.0M$253.0M$-153.0M
Returns
ROE-1.6%-1.6%-0.5%-0.7%-1.3%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——19.67101.52113.62
P/B0.220.220.250.350.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.7%-0.7%-14.2%38.6%—
EPS Growth——33.3%46.4%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +16.5%

Total return

+16.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.10 → n/d

Residual

+15.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+15.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.