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v0.1
0081.HK$2.90+0.00%
Fair $2.90+0.0%

0081.HK

China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentHKSE

$2.90

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.90Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 21.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0081.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Overseas Grand Oceans Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.3B

P/E

29.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.5x

↑

ROE

1.0%

↓

Gross Margin

8.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.23

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

0081.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.900Periodo +590.9%
Fair value: $2.900

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.8%

FCF CAGR

+65.1%

FCF margin

5.9%

FCF / Net income

7.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $36.87B · net income $304.7M · FCF $2.18B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.7%-5.7% pts

Operating margin

3.5%-6.4% pts

Net margin

0.8%-4.7% pts

FCF margin

5.9%+5.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$36.87B$36.87B$45.90B$56.41B$57.49B
Net Income$304.7M$304.7M$954.0M$2.30B$3.15B
EBITDA$1.54B$1.54B$2.34B$4.30B$6.14B
EPS0.090.090.270.650.91
Gross Margin8.7%8.7%8.4%11.2%14.4%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%3.7%6.9%9.9%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%2.1%4.1%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.231.231.271.391.59
Current Ratio2.162.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.18B$2.18B$9.02B$9.07B$484.1M
Returns
ROE1.0%1.0%3.0%7.4%10.5%
Valuation
P/E29.0029.006.343.514.05
EV/EBITDA14.5214.527.895.965.06
P/B0.330.330.190.260.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-19.7%-19.7%-18.6%-1.9%—
EPS Growth-67.9%-67.9%-58.6%-28.7%—
Dividend Yield1.2%1.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

44.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.26

Spread vs growth

-112.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.31

Spread vs growth

-97.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.50

Spread vs growth

-87.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +68.8%

Total return

+68.8%

Start / end P/E

6.5x → 33.7x

EPS bridge

0.27 → 0.09

Residual

-286.8%

EPS growth-67.9%
Multiple rerating+422.4%
Dividend+1.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-286.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.