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0114.HK$0.65+0.00%
Fair $0.65+0.0%

0114.HK

Herald Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureHKSE

$0.65

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.65Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $111.0M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 0114.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Herald Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$393M

P/E

8.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.4x

↓

ROE

5.7%

↑

Gross Margin

29.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

0114.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.650Periodo +71.1%
Fair value: $0.650

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-15.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

10.1%

FCF / Net income

2.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $703.7M · net income $32.9M · FCF $71.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.1%+18.9% pts

Operating margin

1.8%+8.0% pts

Net margin

4.7%+9.9% pts

FCF margin

10.1%+18.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$703.7M$703.7M$711.3M$1.26B$1.18B
Net Income$32.9M$32.9M$-14.4M$82.3M$-61.1M
EBITDA$55.2M$55.2M$17.4M$167.4M$-33.7M
EPS0.050.05-0.020.14-0.10
Gross Margin29.1%29.1%22.5%23.7%10.2%
Operating Margin1.8%1.8%-2.8%7.5%-6.2%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%-2.0%6.5%-5.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.050.11
Current Ratio2.642.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$71.3M$71.3M$111.0M$146.2M$-93.7M
Returns
ROE5.7%5.7%-2.5%12.8%-9.9%
Valuation
P/E8.138.13—3.27—
EV/EBITDA2.372.372.790.76—
P/B0.680.680.460.420.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.1%-1.1%-43.7%7.5%—
EPS Growth328.6%328.6%-117.5%234.6%—
Dividend Yield9.2%9.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

326.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.07

Spread vs growth

323.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.11

Spread vs growth

321.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +41.9%

Total return

+41.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → 0.05

Residual

+32.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+9.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+32.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.