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v0.1
0149.HK$0.07-2.94%
Fair $0.07+0.0%

0149.HK

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DiversifiedHKSE

$0.07

-0.00 (-2.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.07Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 2.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0149.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Agri-Products Exchange Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$657M

P/E

82.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.8x

↓

ROE

0.5%

↓

Gross Margin

55.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.70

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

0149.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.066Periodo -100.0%
Fair value: $0.066

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-15.1%

FCF CAGR

-22.8%

FCF margin

12.2%

FCF / Net income

8.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $530.8M · net income $7.8M · FCF $64.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.8%+3.3% pts

Operating margin

21.3%-6.7% pts

Net margin

1.5%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

12.2%-4.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$530.8M$530.8M$579.1M$596.4M$868.7M
Net Income$7.8M$7.8M$7.4M$6.8M$6.4M
EBITDA$149.9M$149.9M$216.1M$164.8M$254.8M
EPS0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Margin55.8%55.8%59.3%55.5%52.5%
Operating Margin21.3%21.3%26.0%21.6%28.0%
Net Margin1.5%1.5%1.3%1.1%0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.700.700.800.820.78
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$64.8M$64.8M$139.6M$46.1M$140.9M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%0.4%0.4%0.3%
Valuation
P/E82.5082.5058.57115.71180.00
EV/EBITDA10.8110.817.0011.688.43
P/B0.400.400.240.460.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.4%-8.4%-2.9%-31.3%—
EPS Growth14.3%14.3%0.0%16.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

94.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

-79.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

54.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

-40.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

30.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

-16.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +57.1%

Total return

+57.1%

Start / end P/E

60.0x → 82.5x

EPS bridge

0.00 → 0.00

Residual

+5.4%

EPS growth+14.3%
Multiple rerating+37.5%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+5.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.