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0164.HK$0.50+0.00%
Fair $0.50+0.0%

0164.HK

China Baoli Technologies Holdings Limited

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesHKSE

$0.50

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.50Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-20.0M · quality 74.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 0.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0164.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Baoli Technologies Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$175M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

28.0x

↑

ROE

0.2%

↓

Gross Margin

15.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

-0.68

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

0164.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.500Periodo -99.3%
Fair value: $0.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-41.5%

FCF / Net income

37.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $48.2M · net income $-533000.0 · FCF $-20.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.4%-5.2% pts

Operating margin

-42.8%-4.8% pts

Net margin

-1.1%-130.7% pts

FCF margin

-41.5%+29.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$48.2M$48.2M$55.3M$53.6M$74.6M
Net Income$-533000.00$-533000.00$-30.8M$-24.3M$96.6M
EBITDA$10.0M$10.0M$-21.5M$-5.8M$159.4M
EPS-0.01-0.01-0.36-0.351.96
Gross Margin15.4%15.4%17.1%12.9%20.6%
Operating Margin-42.8%-42.8%-46.7%-69.5%-38.0%
Net Margin-1.1%-1.1%-55.7%-45.3%129.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-0.68-0.68-0.69-0.72-0.64
Current Ratio0.360.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-20.0M$-20.0M$-12.6M$-34.8M$-53.0M
Returns
ROE0.2%0.2%8.5%7.4%-27.2%
Valuation
P/E————1.73
EV/EBITDA27.9927.99——2.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.7%-12.7%3.2%-28.1%—
EPS Growth97.4%97.4%-2.7%-117.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +26.6%

Total return

+26.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.36 → -0.01

Residual

+26.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+26.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.