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v0.1
0196.HK$0.18+1.73%
Fair $0.18+0.0%

0196.HK

Honghua Group Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesHKSE

$0.18

+0.00 (+1.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.18Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-162.0M · quality 30.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is 1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0196.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Honghua Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

40.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.0x

↑

ROE

1.1%

↓

Gross Margin

12.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.43

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

0196.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.176Periodo -95.0%
Fair value: $0.176

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.8%

FCF / Net income

-5.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.49B · net income $38.3M · FCF $-206.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.5%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

0.7%+4.4% pts

Net margin

0.7%+14.9% pts

FCF margin

-3.8%+1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.49B$5.49B$5.63B$5.47B$4.48B
Net Income$38.3M$38.3M$7.6M$-386.6M$-634.4M
EBITDA$553.5M$553.5M$518.2M$129.5M$-79.3M
EPS0.000.000.00-0.06-0.12
Gross Margin12.5%12.5%12.0%9.9%10.3%
Operating Margin0.7%0.7%-0.0%-3.6%-3.7%
Net Margin0.7%0.7%0.1%-7.1%-14.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.431.431.221.331.69
Current Ratio1.271.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-206.9M$-206.9M$511.6M$-162.0M$-252.7M
Returns
ROE1.1%1.1%0.2%-11.4%-21.4%
Valuation
P/E40.9340.93145.00——
EV/EBITDA9.979.978.6734.28—
P/B0.460.460.300.210.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.5%-2.5%2.9%22.3%—
EPS Growth437.5%437.5%101.4%53.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

53.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

383.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

403.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

415.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.9%

Total return

+23.9%

Start / end P/E

177.5x → 40.9x

EPS bridge

0.00 → 0.00

Residual

-336.6%

EPS growth+437.5%
Multiple rerating-76.9%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-336.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.