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0199.HK$2.45+3.81%
Fair $2.45+0.0%

0199.HK

ITC Properties Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingHKSE

$2.45

+0.09 (+3.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.45Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-48.6M · quality 41.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -37.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0199.HKLocal privado en este navegador · ITC Properties Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.7B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-37.7%

↓

Gross Margin

-84.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.43

↓
52-Week Range$2
$0$3

TradingView lightweight chart

0199.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.450Periodo -60.5%
Fair value: $2.450

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

33.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $398.1M · net income $-813.0M · FCF $134.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-84.8%-96.9% pts

Operating margin

-138.8%-68.5% pts

Net margin

-204.2%-374.7% pts

FCF margin

33.9%+51.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$398.1M$398.1M$111.1M$90.8M$332.2M
Net Income$-813.0M$-813.0M$-644.9M$-146.9M$566.2M
EBITDA$-708.4M$-708.4M$-646.5M$-78.7M$630.4M
EPS-0.90-0.90-0.71-0.160.59
Gross Margin-84.8%-84.8%-41.1%-8.7%12.0%
Operating Margin-138.8%-138.8%-248.7%-261.3%-70.3%
Net Margin-204.2%-204.2%-580.6%-161.9%170.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.430.430.470.400.36
Current Ratio0.750.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$134.9M$134.9M$-48.6M$-291.7M$-58.4M
Returns
ROE-37.7%-37.7%-22.0%-4.1%14.2%
Valuation
P/E————1.75
EV/EBITDA————3.43
P/B1.031.030.170.270.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth258.4%258.4%22.4%-72.7%—
EPS Growth-26.8%-26.8%-343.7%-127.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1182.7%

Total return

+1182.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.71 → -0.90

Residual

+1182.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1182.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.