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0308.HK$1.20-0.83%
Fair $1.20+0.0%

0308.HK

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureHKSE

$1.20

-0.01 (-0.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.20Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-38.1M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -2.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0308.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Travel International Investment Hong Kong Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.6B

P/E

30.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.1x

↓

ROE

-2.5%

↓

Gross Margin

29.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.24

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

0308.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.200Periodo -3.2%
Fair value: $1.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.08B · net income $-282.1M · FCF $160.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.7%+19.6% pts

Operating margin

7.4%+30.7% pts

Net margin

-6.9%+4.8% pts

FCF margin

3.9%+39.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.08B$4.08B$4.17B$4.49B$3.03B
Net Income$-282.1M$-282.1M$106.0M$239.5M$-355.8M
EBITDA$1.05B$1.05B$1.14B$1.26B$-118.2M
EPS-0.05-0.050.020.04-0.06
Gross Margin29.7%29.7%36.1%33.7%10.2%
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%14.5%10.2%-23.3%
Net Margin-6.9%-6.9%2.5%5.3%-11.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.160.160.10
Current Ratio1.181.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$160.2M$160.2M$-170.2M$-38.1M$-1.09B
Returns
ROE-2.5%-2.5%0.7%1.5%-2.2%
Valuation
P/E30.0030.0050.7931.64—
EV/EBITDA6.056.054.826.02—
P/B0.590.590.330.460.60
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.2%-2.2%-7.2%48.2%—
EPS Growth-366.5%-366.5%-55.9%167.3%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.5%

Total return

+18.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.02 → -0.05

Residual

+17.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+17.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.