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0385.HK$0.28+3.70%
Fair $0.28+0.0%

0385.HK

Chinney Alliance Group Limited

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionHKSE

$0.28

+0.01 (+3.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.28Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $12.8M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -0.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0385.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Chinney Alliance Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$167M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

0.6x

↓

ROE

-0.1%

↓

Gross Margin

11.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.46

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

0385.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.280Periodo -23.6%
Fair value: $0.280

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.3%

FCF CAGR

-54.2%

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

-4.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.50B · net income $-3.0M · FCF $12.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.5%— pts

Operating margin

1.4%+0.3% pts

Net margin

-0.0%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

0.2%-2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.50B$6.50B$7.69B$5.98B$5.90B
Net Income$-3.0M$-3.0M$50.7M$25.7M$-10.2M
EBITDA$218.9M$218.9M$292.1M$236.7M$177.9M
EPS-0.01-0.010.090.04-0.02
Gross Margin11.5%11.5%———
Operating Margin1.4%1.4%2.0%1.9%1.1%
Net Margin-0.0%-0.0%0.7%0.4%-0.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.460.460.480.370.26
Current Ratio1.371.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$12.8M$12.8M$-61.0M$85.5M$133.3M
Returns
ROE-0.1%-0.1%2.4%1.2%-0.5%
Valuation
P/E——4.188.26—
EV/EBITDA0.640.640.61-0.361.00
P/B0.080.080.100.100.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.5%-15.5%28.6%1.4%—
EPS Growth-105.9%-105.9%97.7%352.9%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.5%

Total return

-24.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.09 → -0.01

Residual

-28.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.