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Recent

v0.1
0420.HK$0.71-1.39%
Fair $0.71+0.0%

0420.HK

Fountain Set (Holdings) Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingHKSE

$0.71

-0.01 (-1.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.71Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $195.0M · quality 61.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0420.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Fountain Set (Holdings) Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$870M

P/E

11.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.1x

↓

ROE

2.2%

↓

Gross Margin

13.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

0420.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.710Periodo -31.1%
Fair value: $0.710

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-11.9%

FCF CAGR

-29.2%

FCF margin

6.4%

FCF / Net income

3.69x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.14B · net income $71.3M · FCF $263.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.5%+4.0% pts

Operating margin

2.4%+3.7% pts

Net margin

1.7%+3.6% pts

FCF margin

6.4%-5.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.14B$4.14B$4.43B$4.44B$6.05B
Net Income$71.3M$71.3M$14.3M$50.9M$-115.5M
EBITDA$305.1M$305.1M$278.9M$345.9M$210.5M
EPS0.060.060.010.04-0.09
Gross Margin13.5%13.5%12.0%7.3%9.5%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%0.6%-5.1%-1.3%
Net Margin1.7%1.7%0.3%1.1%-1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.060.100.18
Current Ratio3.723.72———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$263.5M$263.5M$-25.4M$195.0M$741.5M
Returns
ROE2.2%2.2%0.4%1.6%-3.6%
Valuation
P/E11.8311.8352.509.29—
EV/EBITDA0.130.130.14-0.592.71
P/B0.270.270.240.150.35
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.5%-6.5%-0.3%-26.7%—
EPS Growth383.3%383.3%-71.4%144.7%—
Dividend Yield7.9%7.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

2.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

380.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

377.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.12

Spread vs growth

375.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.2%

Total return

+17.2%

Start / end P/E

54.2x → 12.2x

EPS bridge

0.01 → 0.06

Residual

-296.7%

EPS growth+383.3%
Multiple rerating-77.4%
Dividend+7.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-296.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.