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v0.1
0430.HK$0.40-2.00%
Fair $0.40+0.0%

0430.HK

Oriental Explorer Holdings Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesHKSE

$0.40

-0.01 (-2.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.40Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 5/F
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

5/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -50.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0430.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Oriental Explorer Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$155M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-50.0%

↓

Gross Margin

73.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

0430.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.392Periodo -81.9%
Fair value: $0.400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.4%

FCF CAGR

-10.7%

FCF margin

41.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $24.3M · net income $-473.6M · FCF $10.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

73.7%-7.4% pts

Operating margin

47.6%-12.6% pts

Net margin

-1946.6%-1996.1% pts

FCF margin

41.3%-16.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$24.3M$24.3M$25.4M$23.4M$24.6M
Net Income$-473.6M$-473.6M$-37.9M$-40.8M$12.2M
EBITDA$-465.7M$-465.7M$-28.0M$-30.4M$18.1M
EPS——-0.10-0.110.03
Gross Margin73.7%73.7%76.4%77.8%81.1%
Operating Margin47.6%47.6%53.6%55.2%60.2%
Net Margin-1946.6%-1946.6%-149.4%-174.2%49.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity———0.100.10
Current Ratio0.410.41———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$10.1M$10.1M$10.1M$12.2M$14.1M
Returns
ROE-50.0%-50.0%-2.7%-2.8%0.8%
Valuation
P/E————12.10
EV/EBITDA————6.66
P/B0.160.160.100.090.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.1%-4.1%8.3%-4.8%—
EPS Growth——7.0%-434.7%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.5%

Total return

+4.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.10 → n/d

Residual

+0.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.