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0456.HK$0.50+0.00%
Fair $0.50+0.0%

0456.HK

New City Development Group Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentHKSE

$0.50

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.50Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 2/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.52, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0456.HKLocal privado en este navegador · New City Development Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$107M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-138.6%

↓

Gross Margin

36.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.52

↑
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

0456.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.500Periodo -97.1%
Fair value: $0.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-29.4%

FCF CAGR

+13.3%

FCF margin

402.7%

FCF / Net income

-1.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $63.4M · net income $-221.0M · FCF $255.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.5%-8.9% pts

Operating margin

-70.7%-66.7% pts

Net margin

-348.3%-306.0% pts

FCF margin

402.7%+305.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$63.4M$63.4M$98.6M$172.9M$180.2M
Net Income$-221.0M$-221.0M$-127.6M$-125.9M$-76.2M
EBITDA$-221.5M$-221.5M$-118.1M$-163.6M$-78.8M
EPS-1.39-1.39-1.09-1.39-0.88
Gross Margin36.5%36.5%50.5%46.2%45.4%
Operating Margin-70.7%-70.7%-20.7%-2.2%-4.1%
Net Margin-348.3%-348.3%-129.5%-72.8%-42.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.522.522.061.731.35
Current Ratio1.251.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$255.5M$255.5M$58.7M$105.0M$175.7M
Returns
ROE-138.6%-138.6%-38.9%-31.0%-14.0%
Valuation
P/B0.500.500.210.140.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-35.7%-35.7%-43.0%-4.0%—
EPS Growth-28.0%-28.0%21.4%-57.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.2%

Total return

+4.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.09 → -1.39

Residual

+4.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.