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0484.HK$0.78+2.63%
Fair $0.78+0.0%

0484.HK

Forgame Holdings Limited

Technology / Electronics & Computer DistributionHKSE

$0.78

+0.02 (+2.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.78Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-20.9M · quality 68.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -11.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0484.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Forgame Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$131M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-11.2%

↓

Gross Margin

3.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

0484.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.780Periodo -98.8%
Fair value: $0.780

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.3%

FCF / Net income

0.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $155.6M · net income $-47.2M · FCF $-2.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.1%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

-33.6%+19.1% pts

Net margin

-30.3%-12.7% pts

FCF margin

-1.3%+24.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$155.6M$155.6M$82.6M$60.2M$114.1M
Net Income$-47.2M$-47.2M$-59.3M$-17.6M$-20.1M
EBITDA$-25.2M$-25.2M$-36.8M$12.9M$1.8M
EPS——-0.41-0.12-0.14
Gross Margin3.1%3.1%5.6%15.0%5.1%
Operating Margin-33.6%-33.6%-76.5%-89.1%-52.8%
Net Margin-30.3%-30.3%-71.8%-29.3%-17.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.01
Current Ratio12.7812.78———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.0M$-2.0M$-25.3M$-20.9M$-29.5M
Returns
ROE-11.2%-11.2%-12.3%-3.0%-3.1%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA———-6.23-62.58
P/B0.310.310.230.190.16
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth88.4%88.4%37.2%-47.3%—
EPS Growth——-241.7%14.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +9.9%

Total return

+9.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.41 → n/d

Residual

+9.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.