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0570.HK$1.60+1.28%
Fair $1.60+0.0%

0570.HK

China Traditional Chinese Medicine Holdings Co. Limited

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericHKSE

$1.60

+0.02 (+1.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.60Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.0B · quality 67.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 56/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0570.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Traditional Chinese Medicine Holdings Co. Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.4x

↓

ROE

-1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

48.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

0570.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.580Periodo +187.3%
Fair value: $1.600

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.0%

FCF CAGR

+51.3%

FCF margin

13.3%

FCF / Net income

-5.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.74B · net income $-342.1M · FCF $1.96B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

48.1%-2.2% pts

Operating margin

4.2%-4.1% pts

Net margin

-2.3%-7.7% pts

FCF margin

13.3%+9.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$14.74B$14.74B$16.51B$18.12B$14.30B
Net Income$-342.1M$-342.1M$54.1M$1.29B$764.5M
EBITDA$894.0M$894.0M$1.50B$2.56B$2.16B
EPS-0.07-0.070.010.260.15
Gross Margin48.1%48.1%47.6%51.2%50.3%
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%5.6%7.5%8.3%
Net Margin-2.3%-2.3%0.3%7.1%5.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.190.240.25
Current Ratio2.292.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.96B$1.96B$2.07B$680.2M$565.1M
Returns
ROE-1.7%-1.7%0.3%6.1%3.8%
Valuation
P/E——209.3515.1324.70
EV/EBITDA7.397.397.608.449.66
P/B0.390.390.530.920.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.7%-10.7%-8.9%26.7%—
EPS Growth-734.6%-734.6%-95.8%68.1%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.0%

Total return

-27.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.01 → -0.07

Residual

-27.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-27.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.