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v0.1
0617.HK$0.21+0.47%
Fair $0.21+0.0%

0617.HK

Paliburg Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingHKSE

$0.21

+0.00 (+0.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.21Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 9/F
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 27% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $563.6M · quality 39.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

9/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -12.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0617.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Paliburg Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$236M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-12.6%

↓

Gross Margin

30.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.94

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

0617.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.212Periodo -70.1%
Fair value: $0.212

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.8%

FCF CAGR

+46.1%

FCF margin

52.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.79B · net income $-1.16B · FCF $1.98B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.8%-12.3% pts

Operating margin

-5.0%-14.3% pts

Net margin

-30.5%-25.1% pts

FCF margin

52.3%+36.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.79B$3.79B$2.73B$2.81B$4.00B
Net Income$-1.16B$-1.16B$-1.64B$-1.04B$-217.7M
EBITDA$-190.8M$-190.8M$-432.7M$217.6M$1.02B
EPS——-1.55-1.01-0.27
Gross Margin30.8%30.8%34.6%40.1%43.1%
Operating Margin-5.0%-5.0%-7.8%-4.3%9.3%
Net Margin-30.5%-30.5%-60.2%-37.1%-5.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.941.941.931.681.46
Current Ratio0.900.90———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.98B$1.98B$284.0M$563.6M$636.1M
Returns
ROE-12.6%-12.6%-16.1%-8.7%-1.6%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA———92.7620.42
P/B0.030.030.060.070.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth38.9%38.9%-2.7%-29.9%—
EPS Growth——-53.5%-274.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -36.7%

Total return

-36.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.55 → n/d

Residual

-36.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-36.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.