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v0.1
0664.HK$24.42+11.90%
Fair $24.42+0.0%

0664.HK

Hangzhou Tongshifu Cultural and Creative (Group) Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureHKSE

$24.42

+2.56 (+11.90%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $24.42Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 1/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $45.7M · quality 60.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 51/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 0664.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou Tongshifu Cultural and Creative (Group) Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

28.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

31.6x

↑

ROE

10.5%

↑

Gross Margin

33.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$24
$17$42

TradingView lightweight chart

0664.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $24.08Periodo -21.0%
Fair value: $24.42

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

—

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $617.3M · net income $47.8M · FCF —

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.7%+1.4% pts

Operating margin

10.5%-1.1% pts

Net margin

7.7%-3.6% pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$617.3M$617.3M$571.2M$506.4M$503.2M
Net Income$47.8M$47.8M$79.0M$44.1M$56.9M
EBITDA$49.9M$49.9M$108.3M$63.1M$76.5M
EPS0.740.741.230.690.88
Gross Margin33.7%33.7%35.4%32.4%32.2%
Operating Margin10.5%10.5%14.6%7.9%11.6%
Net Margin7.7%7.7%13.8%8.7%11.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.010.00—
Current Ratio3.363.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow——$35.0M$56.3M$3.0M
Returns
ROE10.5%10.5%19.3%13.4%19.9%
Valuation
P/E28.4028.40———
EV/EBITDA31.6231.62———
P/B3.443.44———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%12.8%0.6%—
EPS Growth-39.4%-39.4%79.0%-22.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

42.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.17

Spread vs growth

-82.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.62

Spread vs growth

-68.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.22

Spread vs growth

-58.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -21.0%

Total return

-21.0%

Start / end P/E

24.9x → 32.4x

EPS bridge

1.23 → 0.74

Residual

-12.0%

EPS growth-39.4%
Multiple rerating+30.4%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.