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v0.1
0719.HK$6.07+0.33%
Fair $6.07+0.0%

0719.HK

Shandong Xinhua Pharmaceutical Company Limited

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericHKSE

$6.07

+0.02 (+0.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.07Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $155.2M · quality 57.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 40/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 0719.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Xinhua Pharmaceutical Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.2B

P/E

13.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

5.6%

↑

Gross Margin

18.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.28

↑
52-Week Range$6
$6$9

TradingView lightweight chart

0719.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.070Periodo +1011.4%
Fair value: $6.070

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.3%

FCF CAGR

-6.6%

FCF margin

4.8%

FCF / Net income

1.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.75B · net income $289.9M · FCF $418.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.8%-8.4% pts

Operating margin

5.0%-2.2% pts

Net margin

3.3%-2.2% pts

FCF margin

4.8%-2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.75B$8.75B$8.47B$8.10B$7.50B
Net Income$289.9M$289.9M$470.0M$496.5M$411.1M
EBITDA$988.9M$988.9M$1.11B$1.09B$1.01B
EPS0.420.420.680.720.61
Gross Margin18.8%18.8%24.1%29.5%27.2%
Operating Margin5.0%5.0%7.0%7.6%7.2%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%5.6%6.1%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.280.280.330.300.34
Current Ratio1.761.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$418.1M$418.1M$155.2M$-59.9M$513.5M
Returns
ROE5.6%5.6%9.4%10.9%10.0%
Valuation
P/E13.4913.498.817.8312.69
EV/EBITDA4.324.324.093.975.38
P/B0.800.800.830.851.26
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%4.5%8.0%—
EPS Growth-38.2%-38.2%-5.6%18.0%—
Dividend Yield9.5%9.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

8.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

-46.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.65

Spread vs growth

-47.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.05

Spread vs growth

-47.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +12.2%

Total return

+12.2%

Start / end P/E

8.7x → 14.5x

EPS bridge

0.68 → 0.42

Residual

-25.3%

EPS growth-38.2%
Multiple rerating+66.3%
Dividend+9.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.