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v0.1
0745.HK$4.00+5.26%
Fair $4.00+0.0%

0745.HK

China National Culture Group Limited

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesHKSE

$4.00

+0.20 (+5.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.0M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 29/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -10.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0745.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China National Culture Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$937M

P/E

133.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

81.2x

↑

ROE

-10.7%

↓

Gross Margin

9.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$4
$0$5

TradingView lightweight chart

0745.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.000Periodo -99.6%
Fair value: $4.000

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.2%

FCF / Net income

0.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $43.7M · net income $-4.8M · FCF $-955000.0

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.0%-25.1% pts

Operating margin

10.7%+26.7% pts

Net margin

-10.9%+40.3% pts

FCF margin

-2.2%+26.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$43.7M$43.7M$27.9M$43.0M$67.5M
Net Income$-4.8M$-4.8M$-43.7M$-1.5M$-34.6M
EBITDA$4.7M$4.7M$-34.0M$5.3M$-9.9M
EPS-0.05-0.05-0.48-0.02-0.41
Gross Margin9.0%9.0%19.5%43.1%34.2%
Operating Margin10.7%10.7%-122.1%12.3%-16.0%
Net Margin-10.9%-10.9%-156.6%-3.5%-51.2%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio5.445.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-955000.00$-955000.00$-5.6M$-5.0M$-19.2M
Returns
ROE-10.7%-10.7%-260.7%-2.5%-61.3%
Valuation
P/E133.33133.33———
EV/EBITDA81.2481.24—10.49—
P/B8.868.860.891.012.53
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth56.8%56.8%-35.2%-36.2%—
EPS Growth89.9%89.9%-2695.1%95.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2185.7%

Total return

+2185.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.48 → -0.05

Residual

+2185.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+2185.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.