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0825.HK$0.30-3.23%
Fair $0.30+0.0%

0825.HK

New World Department Store China Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresHKSE

$0.30

-0.01 (-3.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.30Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $350.5M · quality 62.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 63/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0825.HKLocal privado en este navegador · New World Department Store China Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$506M

P/E

15.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.0x

↓

ROE

0.7%

↓

Gross Margin

78.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.06

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

0825.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.300Periodo -94.9%
Fair value: $0.300

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-15.1%

FCF CAGR

+71.1%

FCF margin

29.6%

FCF / Net income

13.86x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.18B · net income $25.3M · FCF $350.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

78.4%+3.3% pts

Operating margin

8.9%+19.2% pts

Net margin

2.1%+27.1% pts

FCF margin

29.6%+26.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.18B$1.18B$1.36B$1.48B$1.93B
Net Income$25.3M$25.3M$13.3M$-320.9M$-483.4M
EBITDA$627.0M$627.0M$626.6M$326.2M$340.2M
EPS0.010.010.01-0.19-0.29
Gross Margin78.4%78.4%77.6%73.9%75.1%
Operating Margin8.9%8.9%15.4%6.7%-10.3%
Net Margin2.1%2.1%1.0%-21.6%-25.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.061.061.231.341.40
Current Ratio0.300.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$350.5M$350.5M$240.6M$495.4M$70.0M
Returns
ROE0.7%0.7%0.4%-9.5%-12.1%
Valuation
P/E15.0015.0031.25——
EV/EBITDA6.006.006.3816.3920.48
P/B0.140.140.120.390.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.0%-13.0%-8.4%-23.3%—
EPS Growth87.5%87.5%104.2%34.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

21.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

66.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

71.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

74.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.2%

Total return

+13.2%

Start / end P/E

33.1x → 20.0x

EPS bridge

0.01 → 0.01

Residual

-34.7%

EPS growth+87.5%
Multiple rerating-39.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.