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0829.HK$0.16+0.64%
Fair $0.16+0.0%

0829.HK

Shenguan Holdings (Group) Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsHKSE

$0.16

+0.00 (+0.64%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.16Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-122.9M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0829.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Shenguan Holdings (Group) Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$510M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.8x

↓

ROE

-3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

10.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

0829.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.158Periodo -92.7%
Fair value: $0.158

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-12.0%

FCF / Net income

1.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.02B · net income $-69.8M · FCF $-122.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.2%-5.3% pts

Operating margin

-4.8%-3.0% pts

Net margin

-6.8%-9.1% pts

FCF margin

-12.0%-15.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.02B$1.02B$1.02B$1.11B$1.03B
Net Income$-69.8M$-69.8M$26.7M$31.2M$23.6M
EBITDA$48.7M$48.7M$135.9M$178.0M$146.1M
EPS-0.02-0.020.010.010.01
Gross Margin10.2%10.2%16.8%15.4%15.5%
Operating Margin-4.8%-4.8%2.3%-0.4%-1.8%
Net Margin-6.8%-6.8%2.6%2.8%2.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.110.120.21
Current Ratio2.612.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-122.9M$-122.9M$-234.0M$94.0M$31.1M
Returns
ROE-3.3%-3.3%1.2%1.3%0.9%
Valuation
P/E——35.0028.0045.71
EV/EBITDA7.857.854.772.014.25
P/B0.240.240.390.380.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.6%0.6%-8.4%7.6%—
EPS Growth-375.0%-375.0%-20.0%42.9%—
Dividend Yield12.7%12.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -35.5%

Total return

-35.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.01 → -0.02

Residual

-48.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+12.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-48.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.