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v0.1
0986.HK$0.04-10.47%
Fair $0.04+0.0%

0986.HK

Dufu Liquor Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Luxury GoodsHKSE

$0.04

-0.05 (-10.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.04Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-4.2M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 0986.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Dufu Liquor Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6M

P/E

0.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.6x

↓

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

51.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

0986.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.385Periodo -100.0%
Fair value: $0.044

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-14.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $67.3M · net income $30.4M · FCF $-3.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

51.3%+25.4% pts

Operating margin

50.9%+41.6% pts

Net margin

45.2%+44.6% pts

FCF margin

-5.3%+42.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$67.3M$67.3M$66.1M$68.5M$108.9M
Net Income$30.4M$30.4M$-18.5M$-14.5M$604000.00
EBITDA$35.4M$35.4M$-15.9M$-11.5M$3.9M
EPS0.020.02-0.01-0.010.00
Gross Margin51.3%51.3%45.2%40.9%25.9%
Operating Margin50.9%50.9%-25.6%15.5%9.3%
Net Margin45.2%45.2%-28.0%-21.1%0.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.080.060.08
Current Ratio4.934.93———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.6M$-3.6M$-4.2M$-8.5M$-52.3M
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%-5.6%-3.9%0.2%
Valuation
P/E0.210.21——1466.67
EV/EBITDA2.562.56——227.86
P/B0.160.162.531.412.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.9%1.9%-3.5%-37.1%—
EPS Growth264.1%264.1%-27.5%-1969.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-45.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.00

Spread vs growth

309.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-27.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.00

Spread vs growth

291.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-10.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.01

Spread vs growth

274.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -63.0%

Total return

-63.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.01 → 0.02

Residual

-63.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-63.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.