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0999.HK$7.26+1.97%
Fair $7.26+0.0%

0999.HK

Xiaocaiyuan International Holding Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsHKSE

$7.26

+0.14 (+1.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.26Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $584.1M · quality 80.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 0999.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Xiaocaiyuan International Holding Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.5B

P/E

10.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.2x

↓

ROE

29.3%

↑

Gross Margin

44.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.39

↓
52-Week Range$7
$6$12

TradingView lightweight chart

0999.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.260Periodo -19.8%
Fair value: $7.260

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.5%

FCF CAGR

+31.1%

FCF margin

14.2%

FCF / Net income

1.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.35B · net income $715.1M · FCF $761.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.7%+8.7% pts

Operating margin

18.7%+7.0% pts

Net margin

13.4%+6.0% pts

FCF margin

14.2%+3.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.35B$5.35B$5.21B$4.55B$3.21B
Net Income$715.1M$715.1M$580.6M$532.1M$237.6M
EBITDA$1.49B$1.49B$1.24B$1.11B$664.7M
EPS0.610.610.560.450.20
Gross Margin44.7%44.7%40.8%39.2%36.0%
Operating Margin18.7%18.7%14.5%16.9%11.6%
Net Margin13.4%13.4%11.1%11.7%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.390.390.341.221.91
Current Ratio2.612.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$761.1M$761.1M$584.1M$555.8M$337.9M
Returns
ROE29.3%29.3%24.5%85.4%73.1%
Valuation
P/E10.2310.2316.20——
EV/EBITDA6.196.197.60——
P/B3.503.503.92——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.6%2.6%14.5%41.6%—
EPS Growth8.9%8.9%23.8%124.0%—
Dividend Yield11.5%11.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.64

Spread vs growth

7.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.78

Spread vs growth

3.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.26

Spread vs growth

1.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.1%

Total return

-4.1%

Start / end P/E

15.4x → 11.9x

EPS bridge

0.56 → 0.61

Residual

-2.0%

EPS growth+8.9%
Multiple rerating-22.5%
Dividend+11.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.