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104620.KQ$3775.00-5.63%
Fair $3775.00+0.0%

104620.KQ

Yellow Balloon Tour Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureKOSDAQ

$3775.00

-225.00 (-5.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3775.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $6.0B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -7.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 104620.KQLocal privado en este navegador · Yellow Balloon Tour Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$63.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

13.0x

↑

ROE

-7.0%

↓

Gross Margin

99.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.66

↑
52-Week Range$3775
$3745$7580

TradingView lightweight chart

104620.KQ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,775Periodo -66.8%
Fair value: $3,775

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+75.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

5.0%

FCF / Net income

-2.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $119.70B · net income $-2.81B · FCF $5.99B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

99.9%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

1.9%+96.9% pts

Net margin

-2.3%+107.1% pts

FCF margin

5.0%+12.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$119.70B$119.70B$131.91B$98.61B$22.00B
Net Income$-2.81B$-2.81B$-4.74B$5.92B$-24.08B
EBITDA$4.14B$4.14B$-2.43B$11.74B$-24.58B
EPS-173.00-173.00-299.00374.00-1567.00
Gross Margin99.9%99.9%99.9%99.9%99.7%
Operating Margin1.9%1.9%-5.0%6.7%-95.0%
Net Margin-2.3%-2.3%-3.6%6.0%-109.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.660.660.940.570.83
Current Ratio0.950.95———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.99B$5.99B$15.28B$1.43B$-1.60B
Returns
ROE-7.0%-7.0%-13.1%14.7%-73.7%
Valuation
P/E———17.89—
EV/EBITDA13.0113.01—10.63—
P/B1.531.532.032.633.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.3%-9.3%33.8%348.1%—
EPS Growth42.1%42.1%-179.9%123.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.7%

Total return

-19.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-299.00 → -173.00

Residual

-19.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.