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1125.HK$0.88+0.00%
Fair $0.88+0.0%

1125.HK

Lai Fung Holdings Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentHKSE

$0.88

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.88Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 9/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 53/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

9/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is -3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1125.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Lai Fung Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$291M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

33.9x

↑

ROE

-3.5%

↓

Gross Margin

40.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.85

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1125.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.880Periodo -96.9%
Fair value: $0.880

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-19.9%

FCF CAGR

+7.0%

FCF margin

22.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.29B · net income $-419.4M · FCF $292.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.7%-10.9% pts

Operating margin

13.3%+4.6% pts

Net margin

-32.5%-27.1% pts

FCF margin

22.6%+13.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.29B$1.29B$2.19B$1.80B$2.52B
Net Income$-419.4M$-419.4M$-267.7M$-584.7M$-134.5M
EBITDA$280.6M$280.6M$918.9M$235.5M$868.5M
EPS-1.27-1.27-0.81-1.77-0.41
Gross Margin40.7%40.7%40.6%50.1%51.5%
Operating Margin13.3%13.3%15.1%7.8%8.7%
Net Margin-32.5%-32.5%-12.2%-32.5%-5.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.850.850.800.830.81
Current Ratio0.860.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$292.2M$292.2M$342.6M$553.3M$238.2M
Returns
ROE-3.5%-3.5%-2.2%-4.6%-0.9%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA33.8933.8910.1442.0213.85
P/B0.020.020.040.080.15
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-41.1%-41.1%21.8%-28.4%—
EPS Growth-56.6%-56.6%54.2%-335.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.0%

Total return

-12.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.81 → -1.27

Residual

-12.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-12.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.