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1134.HK$0.36+0.00%
Fair $0.36+0.0%

1134.HK

Kelfred Holdings Limited

Healthcare / Medical Instruments & SuppliesHKSE

$0.36

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.36Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $12.5M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -10.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1134.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Kelfred Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$180M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

505.2x

↑

ROE

-10.2%

↓

Gross Margin

11.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1134.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.360Periodo -66.0%
Fair value: $0.360

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.4%

FCF CAGR

+21.2%

FCF margin

5.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $500.3M · net income $-15.1M · FCF $26.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.9%-4.5% pts

Operating margin

-2.1%-3.7% pts

Net margin

-3.0%-5.0% pts

FCF margin

5.2%+2.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$500.3M$500.3M$453.6M$393.3M$465.4M
Net Income$-15.1M$-15.1M$-21.6M$1.4M$9.2M
EBITDA$278000.00$278000.00$-7.3M$14.2M$21.1M
EPS-0.03-0.03-0.040.000.02
Gross Margin11.9%11.9%9.8%14.5%16.3%
Operating Margin-2.1%-2.1%-5.3%-3.3%1.5%
Net Margin-3.0%-3.0%-4.8%0.4%2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.080.080.01
Current Ratio1.911.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$26.0M$26.0M$12.5M$-20.3M$14.6M
Returns
ROE-10.2%-10.2%-13.8%0.8%4.9%
Valuation
P/E———150.0043.48
EV/EBITDA505.23505.23—14.3816.85
P/B1.211.210.771.152.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.3%10.3%15.3%-15.5%—
EPS Growth30.3%30.3%-1646.4%-84.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +105.7%

Total return

+105.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.04 → -0.03

Residual

+105.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+105.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.