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v0.1
1153.HK$0.32+8.47%
Fair $0.32+0.0%

1153.HK

Jiayuan Services Holdings Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesHKSE

$0.32

+0.03 (+8.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.32Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 100.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 68/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -91.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1153.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Jiayuan Services Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$196M

P/E

1.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.0x

↓

ROE

-9191.9%

↓

Gross Margin

28.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

-10.38

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

1153.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.320Periodo -91.8%
Fair value: $0.320

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.6%

FCF CAGR

-9.9%

FCF margin

3.9%

FCF / Net income

0.25x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $821.2M · net income $129.1M · FCF $32.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.2%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

29.6%+9.0% pts

Net margin

15.7%+86.0% pts

FCF margin

3.9%-0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$821.2M$821.2M$858.8M$868.2M$944.8M
Net Income$129.1M$129.1M$8.2M$-80.9M$-664.3M
EBITDA$169.4M$169.4M$49.0M$-34.8M$-623.0M
EPS——0.01-0.13-1.09
Gross Margin28.2%28.2%28.1%27.9%29.6%
Operating Margin29.6%29.6%18.0%20.3%20.6%
Net Margin15.7%15.7%0.9%-9.3%-70.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-10.38-10.38-0.19-0.22-0.71
Current Ratio0.740.74———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$32.2M$32.2M$33.0M$38.6M$44.1M
Returns
ROE-9191.9%-9191.9%-6.3%58.4%1150.2%
Valuation
P/E1.331.3344.00——
EV/EBITDA1.041.044.76——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.4%-4.4%-1.1%-8.1%—
EPS Growth——107.7%88.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.9%

Total return

-9.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.01 → n/d

Residual

-9.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.