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v0.1
1202.HK$1.50+5.63%
Fair $1.50+0.0%

1202.HK

Chengdu SIWI Science and Technology Company Limited

Technology / Communication EquipmentHKSE

$1.50

+0.08 (+5.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.50Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-64.7M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 3/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1202.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Chengdu SIWI Science and Technology Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$600M

P/E

150.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

24.0x

↑

ROE

0.5%

↓

Gross Margin

19.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

1202.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.500Periodo +56.3%
Fair value: $1.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-17.7%

FCF / Net income

-15.58x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $366.0M · net income $4.2M · FCF $-64.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

19.6%-3.7% pts

Operating margin

-0.7%+2.8% pts

Net margin

1.1%+1.9% pts

FCF margin

-17.7%-9.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$366.0M$366.0M$302.1M$403.6M$304.0M
Net Income$4.2M$4.2M$1.2M$3.5M$-2.2M
EBITDA$9.6M$9.6M$7.4M$9.2M$7.7M
EPS0.010.010.000.01-0.01
Gross Margin19.6%19.6%20.9%20.8%23.3%
Operating Margin-0.7%-0.7%-2.8%-0.3%-3.5%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%0.4%0.9%-0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.010.01
Current Ratio6.556.55———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-64.7M$-64.7M$65.9M$-133.3M$-24.2M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%0.2%0.4%-0.3%
Valuation
P/E150.00150.00248.2879.00—
EV/EBITDA23.9923.99-20.25-5.77-11.03
P/B0.770.770.370.410.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth21.2%21.2%-25.2%32.8%—
EPS Growth158.6%158.6%-71.0%200.0%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

160.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.13

Spread vs growth

-2.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

84.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.16

Spread vs growth

74.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

42.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.26

Spread vs growth

116.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +106.2%

Total return

+106.2%

Start / end P/E

251.7x → 200.0x

EPS bridge

0.00 → 0.01

Residual

-32.6%

EPS growth+158.6%
Multiple rerating-20.5%
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.