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1316.HK$4.99+1.84%
Fair $4.99+0.0%

1316.HK

Nexteer Automotive Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsHKSE

$4.99

+0.09 (+1.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.99Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $143.1M · quality 74.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1316.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Nexteer Automotive Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.5B

P/E

15.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

26.6x

↑

ROE

4.8%

↓

Gross Margin

11.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$5
$5$9

TradingView lightweight chart

1316.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.990Periodo +94.2%
Fair value: $4.990

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

+74.3%

FCF margin

3.1%

FCF / Net income

1.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.58B · net income $102.0M · FCF $143.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.4%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

3.4%+1.5% pts

Net margin

2.2%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

3.1%+2.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.58B$4.58B$4.28B$4.21B$3.84B
Net Income$102.0M$102.0M$61.7M$36.7M$58.0M
EBITDA$455.2M$455.2M$405.3M$357.5M$362.7M
EPS0.040.040.030.010.02
Gross Margin11.4%11.4%10.5%8.8%9.6%
Operating Margin3.4%3.4%2.4%1.5%1.9%
Net Margin2.2%2.2%1.4%0.9%1.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.050.050.06
Current Ratio1.561.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$143.1M$143.1M$164.9M$91.9M$27.0M
Returns
ROE4.8%4.8%3.1%1.9%3.0%
Valuation
P/E15.5915.59124.40450.00282.50
EV/EBITDA26.6126.6118.4431.0038.72
P/B5.935.933.945.757.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.2%7.2%1.6%9.6%—
EPS Growth64.0%64.0%150.0%-50.0%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

121.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.44

Spread vs growth

-57.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

67.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

-3.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

35.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.86

Spread vs growth

28.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.3%

Total return

-19.3%

Start / end P/E

256.4x → 121.7x

EPS bridge

0.03 → 0.04

Residual

-33.6%

EPS growth+64.0%
Multiple rerating-52.5%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-33.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.