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Recent

v0.1
1321.HK$0.79-12.22%
Fair $0.79+0.0%

1321.HK

China New City Group Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentHKSE

$0.79

-0.11 (-12.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.79Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 0/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is -6.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1321.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China New City Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-6.1%

↓

Gross Margin

12.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.12

↑
52-Week Range$1
$0$2

TradingView lightweight chart

1321.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.900Periodo -42.7%
Fair value: $0.790

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-201.0%

FCF / Net income

5.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $739.7M · net income $-276.2M · FCF $-1.49B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.3%-7.5% pts

Operating margin

-18.6%+24.0% pts

Net margin

-37.3%+35.8% pts

FCF margin

-201.0%-144.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$739.7M$739.7M$4.10B$1.30B$591.8M
Net Income$-276.2M$-276.2M$503.9M$-404.1M$-432.5M
EBITDA$-45.8M$-45.8M$1.37B$-225.2M$-188.1M
EPS-0.14-0.140.25-0.20-0.21
Gross Margin12.3%12.3%50.2%28.4%19.8%
Operating Margin-18.6%-18.6%43.7%2.0%-42.7%
Net Margin-37.3%-37.3%12.3%-31.2%-73.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.121.120.650.690.82
Current Ratio1.561.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.49B$-1.49B$1.05B$613.0M$-333.2M
Returns
ROE-6.1%-6.1%9.6%-8.5%-8.5%
Valuation
P/E——3.15——
EV/EBITDA——3.05——
P/B0.340.340.300.290.42
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-82.0%-82.0%216.3%119.2%—
EPS Growth-157.0%-157.0%224.9%6.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.2%

Total return

-1.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.25 → -0.14

Residual

-1.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.