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1382.T$1520.00-1.36%
Fair $1520.00+0.0%

1382.T

HOB Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsTokyo

$1520.00

-21.00 (-1.36%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1520.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.0M · quality 47.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1382.TLocal privado en este navegador · HOB Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

46.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.1x

↑

ROE

3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

22.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$1520
$1490$3645

TradingView lightweight chart

1382.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,520Periodo -70.5%
Fair value: $1,520

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.41B · net income $24.7M · FCF $-5.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.8%-3.5% pts

Operating margin

1.6%-4.1% pts

Net margin

1.0%-4.4% pts

FCF margin

-0.2%-4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.41B$2.41B$2.52B$2.49B$2.60B
Net Income$24.7M$24.7M$20.0M$110.4M$142.2M
EBITDA$60.8M$60.8M$57.1M$151.4M$157.6M
EPS32.4432.4426.27144.88186.73
Gross Margin22.8%22.8%21.9%26.7%26.3%
Operating Margin1.6%1.6%1.3%5.4%5.7%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%0.8%4.4%5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.02
Current Ratio5.585.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.0M$-5.0M$-187.4M$116.6M$103.2M
Returns
ROE3.3%3.3%2.6%14.0%19.8%
Valuation
P/E46.8646.8685.1512.3210.38
EV/EBITDA14.0814.0823.815.246.27
P/B1.531.532.211.732.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.2%-4.2%1.2%-4.4%—
EPS Growth23.5%23.5%-81.9%-22.4%—
Dividend Yield3.2%3.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

60.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$134.87

Spread vs growth

-37.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

38.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$163.20

Spread vs growth

-14.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$262.83

Spread vs growth

0.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.7%

Total return

-8.7%

Start / end P/E

65.7x → 46.9x

EPS bridge

26.27 → 32.44

Residual

-6.7%

EPS growth+23.5%
Multiple rerating-28.7%
Dividend+3.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.