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1383.T$2860.00-0.35%
Fair $2860.00+0.0%

1383.T

Berg Earth Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsTokyo

$2860.00

-10.00 (-0.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2860.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-134.3M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1383.TLocal privado en este navegador · Berg Earth Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.6B

P/E

94.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.3x

↑

ROE

2.3%

↓

Gross Margin

23.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.14

↑
52-Week Range$2860
$2803$3365

TradingView lightweight chart

1383.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,860Periodo +286.5%
Fair value: $2,860

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.3%

FCF / Net income

-4.95x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.30B · net income $48.3M · FCF $-239.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.5%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

-0.4%+0.5% pts

Net margin

0.7%-2.5% pts

FCF margin

-3.3%-1.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.30B$7.30B$7.09B$7.06B$6.39B
Net Income$48.3M$48.3M$39.9M$78.0M$202.3M
EBITDA$460.3M$460.3M$357.9M$428.0M$515.4M
EPS——25.0050.86139.16
Gross Margin23.5%23.5%24.6%24.9%23.6%
Operating Margin-0.4%-0.4%0.3%1.1%-0.9%
Net Margin0.7%0.7%0.6%1.1%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.141.141.051.031.61
Current Ratio1.221.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-239.4M$-239.4M$-134.3M$104.6M$-110.3M
Returns
ROE2.3%2.3%1.9%3.8%12.5%
Valuation
P/E94.8994.89123.4064.1019.93
EV/EBITDA13.2613.2617.2414.2410.76
P/B2.162.162.382.462.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.9%2.9%0.5%10.4%—
EPS Growth——-50.8%-63.5%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.4%

Total return

-0.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

25.00 → n/d

Residual

-0.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.